Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 338.661417 383.348970 432.755842 491.609258 560.034405 637.350670 731.708378
2025-11-30 271.917477 330.851302 401.779909 494.155005 612.336224 759.884855 960.273392
2025-12-07 230.275969 293.582449 374.119552 485.451452 637.504134 841.059132 1139.578048
2025-12-14 202.835087 268.387941 355.575694 482.098445 664.505194 923.483260 1329.222499
2025-12-21 176.870663 241.084498 329.600905 463.233672 664.690018 965.154591 1463.169202
2025-12-28 166.097075 233.054641 328.650366 478.749835 715.416394 1086.554781 1738.657438
2026-01-04 157.962587 227.596068 330.275802 497.496319 772.535384 1224.992217 2066.236831
2026-01-11 147.020001 216.661460 322.228072 499.658006 802.447203 1322.060598 2338.441082
2026-01-18 134.841276 202.582585 307.732617 489.354925 809.446768 1379.653622 2546.837170
2026-01-25 124.401639 190.242537 294.704804 479.781944 815.972319 1436.424422 2763.040572
2026-02-01 119.459529 186.218185 294.681215 492.255873 863.303968 1575.594385 3175.315442
2026-02-08 112.406599 178.099055 287.012839 490.197271 882.952725 1663.347683 3494.092805
2026-02-15 105.114988 169.160999 277.430277 484.124537 895.057887 1739.712298 3809.050887
2026-02-22 99.850641 163.277042 272.666363 486.548425 924.439244 1857.221429 4250.736276
2026-03-01 93.467967 154.935021 262.774537 478.005328 930.011562 1923.398945 4579.043853
2026-03-08 88.430096 148.587792 255.952008 474.712070 946.124369 2015.741550 4998.879363
2026-03-15 81.805590 138.921239 242.231021 456.183553 926.740136 2021.935097 5182.526577
2026-03-22 80.055409 138.016073 244.879162 471.423321 984.589125 2224.094057 5985.950955
2026-03-29 78.757805 137.835767 248.862168 489.833871 1052.261262 2463.385626 6976.316082
2026-04-05 75.668473 134.044409 245.462125 491.956683 1081.561958 2608.140914 7709.439045
2026-04-12 71.488987 127.888418 236.892686 481.838634 1079.639596 2668.172554 8174.778504
2026-04-19 67.694759 122.248894 228.970260 472.436991 1078.376904 2730.075642 8667.430814
2026-04-26 66.306545 121.246395 230.461581 484.687549 1134.244607 2966.881165 9890.359505